Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Monday, September 29, 2008

Games People Play - for big money in this case!

Well, I guess Wall Street showed those foolish folks in Congress who has the power, didn't they? And before that Congress showed those greedy bankers they don't have to rush to their rescue, didn't they? And before that? You can take this pretty far back before you find someone who wasn't being greedy or arrogant or blind. Make no mistake about it - this is a contest to see who really controls the economy in this country. And one thing is certain, neither of the contestants thinks it's you and me. We're just the PR pawns in their power struggle, the folks they both say they want to help while they pick our pockets to line their own, or to grow their power base, or to simply get re-elected.

There. I got that off my chest. Can't do anything about it except tell you how I feel. And if you feel the same way you could tell someone. And they could tell someone. Hey, maybe I can do something about it. But only if you and I team up to do it together. How? Well, here's my suggestion:

Tell your congressional representative to get off his/her duff and get this thing passed! It's a horrible bill except that it's far better than the alternative. Not in the long term, when everything will right itself as it always does; but in the short term the bankers will make our lives miserable if we don't save them so they can lend back to us the money they got from us through Uncle Sam.

But there's more we've got to do. After this thing gets signed, we've got to get our reps to do something really meaningful for a change. We've got to get them to enact real reform in the banking system. Not from the ideas that the banking industry lobbyists or congressional staffers will propose, but from the minds of our best economists and experts on financial systems. So at least one of these two groups has less opportunity to get rich at our expense by finding still another loophole in the banking and securities laws.

Then go to the polls and take care of the other contestant.

As always, I welcome your comments.

Friday, September 12, 2008

Stupid headlines!


This item caught my eye as I was catching up on the news this morning:

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell in August, pushed lower by plunging gasoline prices, according to Commerce Department data released Friday.

Huh??? Gas prices down, so retail shopping is down? What are you smoking, dude? If that sentence had read 'sales pushed higher by plunging gas prices' I wouldn't have stopped, because we've been hearing that for a couple years. But this headline made me stop. Of course, down in the bowels of the article the writer quoted his source which said the opposite, and properly so. But the point is, when the financial world is in a near panic mode and looking over its' shoulder for the next train wreck, we're going to read irrational stuff in the media. If you're an investor or in a business where the state of the global economy is critical to your business, you've got to ignore the panic scripts. Read the statistics and ignore the interpretations of those statistics. Then draw your own conclusions. You'll be ready when your market is ready.

As always, I welcome your comments.

Thursday, July 31, 2008

Huh? What's he taking about?

A Wall Street Journal reporter wrote a piece on hedge funds looking to find bargains in beaten down bank stocks. At one point he wrote this paragraph about the hedge fund investors:

"Since it is harder for investors to borrow money at reasonable rates, they won't be eager to be buyers unless prices are marked down further. That all suggests troubles in the financial market will get worse before they get better. And most of the money being raised seems aimed at investing in distressed companies, not securities, suggesting more write-downs of mortgage-related assets if housing doesn't perk up."

What the h--- does that mean and how does he get from Point A to Point B? If you can explain that, you're smarter than I am. Does this validate the snide comments we hear about financial reporters or am I missing something here?

As always, your comments are welcome.

Sunday, May 4, 2008

What do the world's CFOs think of the economy?

You can't open a newspaper or turn on the TV these days without reading what some reporter, pundit or politician thinks about the health of the economy. Are we going into a deep recession? Is the consumer going to hibernate and sink the economy? Will more bank failures cause the collapse of the entire banking system?

So it was interesting to read what nearly 600 CFOs across the globe told Duke University about their top economic concerns. In a survey sponsored and reported by CFO Magazine (http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/3734859) the top concerns of CFOs outside the US were the cost of labor and the shortage of skilled labor, not issues typically associated with a recession. In the US, while consumer demand topped the list the cost of skilled labor came in a close second. Hey, I can remember when recessions were about having too much labor around and having to lay off unneeded workers.

We have clients today looking for skilled accounting personnel and finding it can take months to find one that actually has the skills that appear on their resume. And by the way, while one or two of these businesses are retrenching a bit, most of them are building infrastructure for growth and none of them is worrying about their survival as a going concern. Y'know, you just don't get recessions like the good old days. Unless you're in the mortgage business.

We welcome your thoughts...